Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.189133 0.218422 0.252230 0.294484 0.346370 0.408645 0.490027
2025-03-16 0.141070 0.176866 0.222994 0.288189 0.380327 0.509759 0.712829
2025-03-23 0.117663 0.156756 0.211513 0.296851 0.432580 0.652087 1.063192
2025-03-30 0.098659 0.137257 0.194700 0.291081 0.459345 0.765341 1.436886
2025-04-06 0.087214 0.125899 0.186571 0.295298 0.502220 0.923942 2.015514
2025-04-13 0.077090 0.114542 0.175767 0.291509 0.528318 1.061675 2.673395
2025-04-20 0.070525 0.107677 0.170864 0.296709 0.573625 1.266212 3.756827
2025-04-27 0.065528 0.102576 0.167942 0.304725 0.627874 1.527224 5.444082
2025-05-04 0.061132 0.097836 0.164761 0.311277 0.681334 1.825148 7.935378
2025-05-11 0.057572 0.094072 0.162730 0.319737 0.743450 2.203435 12.034524
2025-05-18 0.053988 0.089796 0.158982 0.323365 0.794228 2.591053 17.967346
2025-05-25 0.050700 0.085679 0.154919 0.325301 0.841442 3.017920 27.165341
2025-06-01 0.047386 0.081231 0.149708 0.323713 0.879220 3.461450 41.468890
2025-06-08 0.044035 0.076382 0.143036 0.317061 0.898284 3.845809 61.401220
2025-06-15 0.042254 0.074475 0.142536 0.327014 0.983682 4.770050 124.707618
2025-06-22 0.039540 0.070401 0.136629 0.320519 1.003168 5.303271 207.347535
2025-06-29 0.037809 0.068191 0.134720 0.325311 1.073148 6.393947 489.660145
2025-07-06 0.035704 0.065001 0.130115 0.321021 1.102181 7.222047 1083.425623
2025-07-13 0.034350 0.063291 0.128847 0.326915 1.183644 8.854311 4808.355988
2025-07-20 0.033260 0.062048 0.128563 0.336008 1.288776 11.228097 93515.697437
2025-07-27 0.032161 0.060685 0.127807 0.343446 1.392400 14.177863 NaN
2025-08-03 0.031229 0.059610 0.127655 0.353060 1.518237 18.451768 NaN
2025-08-10 0.030125 0.058055 0.126057 0.357185 1.615903 23.110654 NaN